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2024-12-13 10:27:44

U.S. policy outlook is uncertain. Lagarde lamented that the EU would "ask for it" for political uncertainty. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the monetary policy decision of policymakers on Thursday was shrouded in the turbulent political situation in Europe. Although Lagarde did not directly mention the collapse of the French and German governments in recent weeks, she pointed out that it is not conducive to the central bank's decision-making to keep the fiscal plan and election results in suspense. At present, policymakers are still paying attention to the impact of Donald Trump's return to power. "We hope that many things will become clear in the coming months," Lagarde told reporters. "If we have discussed anything in the past two days, it is the uncertainty we are facing, whether it is the political situation from some member States or the US policy."The U.S. Senate has obtained enough votes to confirm Biden's nominee, Marzano, as a member of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission.BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.


International oil prices fell on the 12th. As of the close of the day, the light crude oil futures price for January delivery in the New York Mercantile Exchange fell by 27 cents to close at 70.02 US dollars per barrel, a decrease of 0.38%. London Brent crude oil futures for February delivery in 2025 fell 11 cents to close at $73.41 a barrel, a decrease of 0.15%.Boeing shares rose 1.3% in the afternoon. In the news, Boeing said it plans to increase the production of 787 to 10 aircraft per month by 2026.The US House of Representatives passed a bill to add 66 federal judges in the United States. On December 12, local time, the US House of Representatives passed a bill with 236 votes in favor and 173 votes against, and planned to add 66 federal judges nationwide to alleviate the shortage of federal courts. This is the first major expansion of the US federal judicial system since 1990. The bill stipulates that the number of judges will be gradually increased in six stages in the next 11 years, covering 25 federal district courts in 13 States, including California, Florida and Texas.


The yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached 1.8%. On December 12, the bond market continued its strong market, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached the important mark of 1.8%, and the short-term interest rate bonds appeared to make up the market. Analysts believe that the downside of the current policy interest rate is open, and the market interest rate may accelerate to a balanced low. At the same time, the market is gradually overdrawn, and the institution advises investors to pay attention to the allocation value of local government bonds and rationally arrange the trend investment opportunities at the end of the year and the beginning of the year. (SSE)Blinken said that the United States is trying to bring back the citizens found in Syria. When meeting in Jordan to discuss the political transition in Syria, US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken said that the United States is trying to bring back an American citizen found in Syria on Thursday.Market information: Turkey appointed a chargé d 'affaires for its embassy in Damascus, which was closed during the Syrian civil war.

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